Real-time payment fraud detection

Source Mastercard (Decision Intelligence / Decision Intelligence Pro) — public case. This is an industry example, not our project
~20%
average improvement in fraud detection
>85%
reduction in false positives (own analysis)

The problem

Card fraud is a vast, adaptive, multi-trillion-dollar problem; rule-based systems can’t keep pace with evolving patterns and generate costly false declines.

The AI approach

Decision Intelligence scores transactions in real time. The 2024 “Pro” upgrade uses a proprietary generative-AI/transformer model (with graph machine learning) trained on ~125 billion annual transactions, assessing the relationships between entities to judge whether a transaction fits a cardholder’s behaviour — in ~50 milliseconds.

Evidence it works

Mastercard reports average fraud-detection improvements of ~20% (and up to 300% in some cases), false-positive reductions of over 85% in its own analysis, and — via a separate 2024 generative-AI tool — doubling the rate of compromised-card detection.

What “good” looks like

Higher fraud catch rates and fewer false declines (the false-positive number matters as much as the catch rate), with sub-100ms scoring at network scale.

Feasibility & cost shape

Network-scale capability built on enormous data and sustained investment (Mastercard cites $7bn+ over five years); most institutions consume it as a service.

Our independent view

A strong example of why data scale and continuous learning beat static rules in adversarial domains. We’d judge any such tool on the false-positive trade-off, not the catch rate alone.

Source & attribution

Based on publicly reported information about the Mastercard (Decision Intelligence / Decision Intelligence Pro) work.

This is an industry example included for illustration. It is not a Leia Intelligence project, and no client of ours is implied. Figures are as publicly reported by the original parties.

Sources: CNBC · PYMNTS · Mastercard press releases (Feb & May 2024) · TechInformed

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